Post by Michael Shittu (@michael_shittu)

An economist who has correctly predicted the World Cup winner three times has said The Netherlands will be this year's champions.

Joachim Klement, a German national who works at an investment bank in London, constructs simulation models which so far have had a 100 per cent success rate.

It predicted Germany as the winners in 2014, France in 2018 and Argentina in 2022.

He says that The Netherlands will defeat Portugal in the final and that England will make it to the semi-finals.

The Netherlands would beat Spain in the semi-finals and England would be knocked out by Portugal - two decades after they were in 2006.

France, Belgium, Japan and Argentina are predicted to make it to the quarter-finals.

The strategist told the BBC: 'Because I was right three times in a row, people now think that this model is unbeatable and that I obviously will have to be right as well next time.'

But originally, he made the model as satire to explore the 'hubris of economists' who think they can predict world events.

#Netherlands #Argentina #France #Germany #WorldCup

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